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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
17.95% ( -0.44) | 22.07% ( 0.41) | 59.98% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( -2.47) | 46.77% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( -2.35) | 69.03% ( 2.35) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( -1.95) | 39.77% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.56% ( -1.85) | 76.44% ( 1.85) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.81) | 15.18% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.21% ( -1.55) | 43.8% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.95% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celtic | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 8 | 27 | 40 |
| 3 | Hearts | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Hibernian | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Ross County | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Livingston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 11 |
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