SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Ross County |
44.88% ( -0.97) | 27.85% ( 0.17) | 27.27% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( -0.19) | 59.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( -0.15) | 80.12% ( 0.14) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.58) | 26.59% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.18% ( -0.77) | 61.82% ( 0.77) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.56) | 38.04% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.19% ( 0.54) | 74.81% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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