SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
49.86% ( 0.08) | 23.19% ( -0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.06) | 41.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( 0.06) | 63.63% ( -0.06) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.05) | 16.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.4% ( 0.09) | 46.59% ( -0.09) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.87% ( -0.01) | 64.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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