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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
38.35% ( 0.15) | 26.38% ( 0.11) | 35.27% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.48) | 51.87% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.42) | 73.63% ( 0.42) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.14) | 26.39% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.46% ( -0.19) | 61.54% ( 0.19) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( -0.39) | 28.18% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.13% ( -0.49) | 63.87% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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