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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 91.67%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.13%) and 2-0 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (0.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
91.67% ( -0.01) | 6.27% ( 0) | 2.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 34.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0) | 24.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0) | 44.15% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.02% ( -0) | 2.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 86.57% ( -0.01) | 13.43% ( 0) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.02) | 64.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 7.37% ( 0.01) | 92.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 3-0 @ 13.81% 4-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 8.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0)6-0 @ 5% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)7-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.11% 8-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 91.65% | 1-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.91% 2-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 6.27% | Other @ 2.06% Total : 2.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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