SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
64.29% ( -0.04) | 19.55% ( 0) | 16.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0.06) | 38.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.09% ( 0.06) | 60.91% ( -0.07) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( 0) | 11.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.96% ( 0.01) | 36.04% ( -0.02) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( 0.08) | 37% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.21% ( 0.08) | 73.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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