SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stranraer in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
36.41% ( 2) | 27.56% ( -0.3) | 36.03% ( -1.71) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( 1.21) | 56.58% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( 0.96) | 77.56% ( -0.96) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 1.87) | 29.77% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( 2.21) | 65.85% ( -2.21) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -0.45) | 30.01% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -0.54) | 66.13% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.02% |
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