SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
56.26% ( 2.08) | 22.82% ( -0.53) | 20.91% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.45) | 45.8% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( 0.42) | 68.12% ( -0.42) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 0.89) | 16.09% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.52% ( 1.6) | 45.48% ( -1.6) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -1.23) | 36.02% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.2% ( -1.28) | 72.8% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 45 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 44 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 44 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 39 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 36 |
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