Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
