SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
44.14% ( -0.41) | 26.1% ( 0.09) | 29.75% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( -0.23) | 52.21% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( -0.2) | 73.92% ( 0.2) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.3) | 23.54% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( -0.44) | 57.59% ( 0.44) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.11) | 32.02% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( 0.13) | 68.49% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.75% |
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