SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
35.9% ( -1.31) | 25.46% ( 0.36) | 38.64% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( -1.67) | 47.8% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( -1.55) | 69.98% ( 1.56) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -1.49) | 25.86% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( -2.07) | 60.84% ( 2.08) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.24) | 24.36% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -0.34) | 58.76% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.64% |
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