Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
