SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dumbarton |
37.84% ( -0.58) | 26.27% ( 0.12) | 35.89% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.48) | 51.34% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.42) | 73.17% ( 0.42) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.54) | 26.42% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( -0.73) | 61.59% ( 0.73) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.05) | 27.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.93% ( 0.06) | 63.07% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
