SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Ayr United |
35.5% ( 5.42) | 25.15% ( -0.63) | 39.36% ( -4.79) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 3.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 4.28) | 46.44% ( -4.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 3.9) | 68.72% ( -3.9) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 5.55) | 25.47% ( -5.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.7% ( 7.03) | 60.3% ( -7.03) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.49) | 23.38% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.64% ( -0.71) | 57.36% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.92)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.71)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.89)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.64)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.44)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.31)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.15)2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -1.81) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -1.43)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.75)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.29)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fulham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Brentford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Everton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
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