Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
