MX23RW : Saturday, September 3 20:53:32
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Saturday, September 3
Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK at Cappielow Park
Morton
3 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
Kabia (15'), Pignatiello (19'), Gillespie (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (9')
Turner (69')
Gray (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
45.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 25.75% (-0.023 -0.02) 29.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (0.064 0.06)72.87% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.043999999999997 0.04)22.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.07 0.07)56.23% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.026999999999997 0.03)68.2% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 45%
    Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 29.24%
    Draw 25.74%
Greenock MortonDrawBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.24%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Morton (0-2 pen.)
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Clyde 2-0 Morton
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Morton 0-0 Falkirk (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Morton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-1 Falkirk (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-4 Hibernian
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Clyde 1-2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 10 at 8.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Clyde
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-8 Hibernian
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
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