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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 9.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (2.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Celtic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
9.59% ( 0.21) | 15.4% ( 0.62) | 75.01% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.55% ( -2.48) | 35.44% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( -2.8) | 57.48% ( 2.79) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.85% ( -1.34) | 45.15% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.95% ( -1.08) | 81.05% ( 1.08) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.03% ( -0.75) | 7.97% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.87% ( -1.92) | 28.12% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.59% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.4% | 0-2 @ 11.51% ( 0.59) 0-3 @ 9.71% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.14)0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.78)1-3 @ 7.72% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 6.14% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.31)0-5 @ 3.11% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 2.47% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.2)0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.14)1-6 @ 1.04% ( -0.15)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.88% Total : 75.01% |
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