SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 13.56% | 17.23% ( 0) | 69.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.02) | 33.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.02) | 54.78% ( 0.02) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.01) | 36.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.38% ( -0.01) | 73.62% ( 0.01) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.37% ( -0) | 8.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.22% ( -0.01) | 29.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.03% Total : 13.56% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.23% | 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.79% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.77% 1-4 @ 4.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-6 @ 0.95% 1-6 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 69.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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