Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
