SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.88% ( -0.54) | 23.05% ( 0.06) | 28.07% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.27% ( 0.07) | 39.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( 0.07) | 62.08% ( -0.07) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.17) | 16.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.76% ( -0.31) | 46.23% ( 0.3) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.36) | 26.81% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.89% ( 0.48) | 62.11% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dundee | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 66 | 40 | 26 | 63 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 31 |
| R | Cove Rangers | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 31 |
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