SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 80.84%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
80.84% ( -0.56) | 12.54% ( 0.42) | 6.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.72% ( -1.71) | 32.27% ( 1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.11% ( -2.02) | 53.88% ( 2.02) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.89% ( -0.44) | 6.11% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.82% ( -1.25) | 23.18% ( 1.25) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% ( -0.93) | 49.96% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.37% ( -0.65) | 84.63% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.56)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.76% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.61% |
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