SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.01% ( -0.26) | 24.86% ( -0.02) | 30.13% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.23) | 46.78% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.22) | 69.04% ( -0.22) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.02) | 20.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.48% ( -0.03) | 53.52% ( 0.03) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( 0.32) | 28.98% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.12% ( 0.39) | 64.88% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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