SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
33.16% ( 0.45) | 26.29% ( 0.02) | 40.55% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.03) | 51.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.03) | 73.6% ( -0.03) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.31) | 29.49% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% ( 0.38) | 65.5% ( -0.38) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.23) | 25.18% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.09% ( -0.32) | 59.91% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.16% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 47 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 26 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 25 |
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