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Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
HL
Hamilton logo

Ayr
1 - 1
Hamilton

Walker (90+5')
Walker (85'), Rus (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shaw (64')
McGinty (45+1'), O'Hara (68'), Robinson (74'), Shaw (82'), Lyness (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Morton
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical has a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it is 0-1 (5.39%).

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
57.97% (-0.542 -0.54) 21.99% (0.14 0.14) 20.04% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.055 -0.05)65.72% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.193 -0.19)14.67% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (-0.37 -0.37)42.83% (0.368 0.37)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (0.38 0.38)35.48% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.391 0.39)72.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 57.97%
    Hamilton Academical 20.04%
    Draw 21.99%
Ayr UnitedDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57.97%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.04%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Partick 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-3 Ayr
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 4-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 2-2 Ayr
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Morton
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-1 Hamilton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Dunfermline
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Hamilton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-0 Hamilton
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship


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