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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
36.27% ( -0.06) | 24.84% ( -0.11) | 38.88% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( 0.49) | 44.95% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( 0.47) | 67.3% ( -0.47) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.19) | 24.34% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.27% ( 0.28) | 58.73% ( -0.27) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.31) | 22.96% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.25% ( 0.45) | 56.74% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 43 | 40 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 69 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 71 | 43 | 28 | 66 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 58 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 66 | 62 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 56 |
| 10 | Fulham | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 41 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 37 |
| 17 | Everton | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 33 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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