SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
47.58% ( 4.53) | 24.02% ( -0.95) | 28.4% ( -3.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( 2.5) | 44% ( -2.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( 2.39) | 66.38% ( -2.39) |
| Al Ettifaq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( 2.97) | 18.64% ( -2.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.06% ( 4.77) | 49.94% ( -4.77) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -1.16) | 28.77% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% ( -1.46) | 64.61% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ettifaq | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.68)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.66)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.46)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.61)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -1)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.78)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 9 | 48 | 50 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Damac | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 7 | Al Fateh | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 9 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Okhdood | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 19 |
| 13 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Al Tai | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 17 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 16 | Abha | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 14 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 12 |
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