SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 74.01%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 10.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-3 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 2-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al Fateh |
10.95% ( -0.74) | 15.04% ( -0.74) | 74.01% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.93% ( 1.66) | 29.06% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.94% ( 2.01) | 50.05% ( -2.01) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.02) | 38.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.17% ( -0.02) | 74.82% ( 0.02) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.3% ( 0.67) | 6.7% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.19% ( 1.78) | 24.8% ( -1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 2-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.64% Total : 10.95% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.04% | 0-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 8.39% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 8.11% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.42)0-4 @ 5.67% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 5.48% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 3.07% ( 0.25)1-5 @ 2.96% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.12)2-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)0-6 @ 1.38% ( 0.16)1-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.41% Total : 74.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 9 | 48 | 50 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Damac | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 7 | Al Fateh | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 9 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Okhdood | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 19 |
| 13 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Al Tai | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 17 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 16 | Abha | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 14 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 12 |
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