SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
39.1% ( 0.28) | 24.7% ( -0.11) | 36.2% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.48) | 44.31% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.47) | 66.68% ( -0.47) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 0.36) | 22.57% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.84% ( 0.53) | 56.16% ( -0.53) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( 0.13) | 24.08% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.63% ( 0.18) | 58.37% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 9 | 48 | 50 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Damac | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 28 |
| 7 | Al Fateh | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 24 |
| 9 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Okhdood | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 19 |
| 13 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Al Tai | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 17 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 16 | Abha | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 14 |
| 17 | Al RaedAl Raed | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Hazem | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 12 |
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