SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Abha had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.65%). The likeliest Abha win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al Fateh |
21.61% ( -0.13) | 20.83% ( 0.14) | 57.56% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.26% ( -0.87) | 35.74% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.19% ( -0.97) | 57.81% ( 0.97) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.61) | 29.65% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( -0.75) | 65.7% ( 0.75) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( -0.28) | 12.31% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.89% ( -0.59) | 38.11% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 21.61% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.93% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.56% |
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