SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 76.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 3-0 (11.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
76.29% ( 0.1) | 16.1% ( -0.06) | 7.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 0.14) | 45.79% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 0.14) | 68.11% ( -0.14) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( 0.06) | 10.22% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0.14) | 33.52% ( -0.15) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.31% ( 0) | 56.69% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.13% ( 0) | 88.87% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 2-0 @ 15.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.21% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 76.28% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 16.1% | 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 7.61% |
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