Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Rostov.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.