SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
40.05% ( 0.38) | 27.52% ( -0.08) | 32.43% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% ( 0.24) | 56.82% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.25% ( 0.2) | 77.75% ( -0.2) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0.33) | 27.76% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.66% ( 0.42) | 63.34% ( -0.43) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.09) | 32.49% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0.09) | 69.01% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.42% |
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