SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
47.98% ( 0.04) | 25.43% ( -0) | 26.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( -0.01) | 51.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( -0.01) | 73.09% ( 0.01) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.01) | 21.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% ( 0.02) | 54.35% ( -0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.04) | 33.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( -0.04) | 70.62% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
