SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Khimki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Fakel |
42.77% ( 0.85) | 27.01% ( -0.35) | 30.22% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( 1.14) | 55.58% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( 0.92) | 76.75% ( -0.92) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.97) | 25.72% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( 1.3) | 60.65% ( -1.29) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.23) | 33.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( 0.25) | 70.06% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.76% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.22% |
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