SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Bucuresti win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Bucuresti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Bucuresti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rapid Bucuresti | Draw | CSM Iasi |
47.93% ( 0.25) | 25.15% ( -0.04) | 26.91% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.02) | 49.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.02) | 71.89% ( -0.02) |
| Rapid Bucuresti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0.12) | 20.84% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.47% ( 0.18) | 53.52% ( -0.19) |
| CSM Iasi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.16) | 32.96% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.45% ( -0.18) | 69.54% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rapid Bucuresti | Draw | CSM Iasi |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FCSB | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | CFR Cluj | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitatea CraiovaU Craiova | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Rapid Bucuresti | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 31 |
| 5 | Petrolul 52 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | HermannstadtHermannstadt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | SSC Farul | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Universitatea Cluj | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | UTA Arad | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Voluntari | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 21 |
| 11 | Otelul | 17 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Sepsi | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 | CSM Iasi | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | U Craiova 1948 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Dinamo Bucharest | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 10 |
| 16 | Botosani | 18 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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