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F
Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
QP
Falkirk
1 - 0
Queen's Park
Allan (6' pen.)
Lawal (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Robson (39'), Turner (54')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Falkirk and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawQueen's Park
63.11% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 19.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)11.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 63.11%
    Queen's Park 16.96%
    Draw 19.93%
FalkirkDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.08%
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.11%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.93%
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 16.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 3-2 Montrose
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-5 Falkirk
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-0 QotS
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Ayr 0-1 Falkirk
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-5 Ayr
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Bala Town 0-3 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 9 at 5.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
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