SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Edinburgh City | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Queen of the South | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stirling Albion | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Forfar Athletic | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Stranraer |
31.63% ( 0.03) | 23.68% ( -0.34) | 44.7% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 1.61) | 40.68% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 1.63) | 63.06% ( -1.63) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.8) | 25% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.34% ( 1.09) | 59.66% ( -1.09) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( 0.78) | 18.49% ( -0.78) |
