SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 38.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
38.62% ( -0.06) | 22.95% ( -0.05) | 38.43% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.59% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.46% ( 0.24) | 35.54% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.41% ( 0.26) | 57.59% ( -0.26) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( 0.07) | 18.97% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( 0.12) | 50.5% ( -0.13) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( 0.15) | 19.06% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.35% ( 0.25) | 50.65% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 38.43% |
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