Qatar Stars League | Gameweek 4
Sep 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium
Umm Salal
3 - 1
Al Ahli
Tannane (17', 65'), Louadni (37')
Al-Sulaimane (77'), Al-Shammari (90+9'),
Delort (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sliti (73')
Mohammed Omar (51'), Al Sebai (55')
Coverage of the Qatar Stars League clash between Umm Salal and Al Ahli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.
| Result |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Ahli |
43.32% ( 0.2) | 24.55% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0) |
| 55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.57% ( -0.04) |
| 33.06% ( 0.04) | 66.94% ( -0.03) |
| 79.32% ( 0.11) | 20.67% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.17) | 53.26% ( -0.17) |
| 73.41% ( -0.09) | 26.59% ( 0.09) |
