SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Osijek |
28.16% ( -0.19) | 26.03% ( 0.15) | 45.81% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.67) | 52.69% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -0.58) | 74.33% ( 0.58) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( -0.5) | 33.46% ( 0.5) |
