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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
0 - 1
Istra 1961


Goda (46'), Djouahra (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gagua (38')
Koski (53'), Fucak (56'), Paul Keller (69'), Loncar (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Friday, January 31 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
68.39% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2) 20.36% (0.209 0.21) 11.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.06% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.811 -0.81)52.69% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.698 -0.7)74.33% (0.699 0.7)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (-0.321 -0.32)14.45% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (-0.62 -0.62)42.4% (0.622 0.62)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.82% (-0.519 -0.52)53.18% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.24% (-0.33 -0.33)86.76% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 68.38%
    NK Istra 1961 11.25%
    Draw 20.36%
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 14.86% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 14.37% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 68.38%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.36%
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka
Saturday, February 1 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 4-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, January 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-2 Rijeka
Sunday, December 15 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 0-1 Rijeka
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 30 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Friday, January 31 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, January 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-2 Istra 1961
Friday, December 20 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 3-3 Sibenik
Saturday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Varazdin
Saturday, December 7 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-2 Istra 1961
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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