SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
65.67% ( 2.25) | 19.25% ( -0.55) | 15.08% ( -1.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.87) | 39.4% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.26% ( -0.91) | 61.74% ( 0.91) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.79% ( 0.34) | 11.21% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.25% ( 0.75) | 35.74% ( -0.75) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -2.66) | 38.86% ( 2.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.4% ( -2.61) | 75.59% ( 2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.19)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.15% Total : 65.67% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.37)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.25% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.08% |
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