Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
