SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.67% ( -0.62) | 15.68% ( 0.37) | 8.65% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.91) | 40.13% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -0.95) | 62.49% ( 0.95) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.06% ( -0.36) | 8.94% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.47% ( -0.88) | 30.53% ( 0.88) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.06) | 50.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.06% ( -0.04) | 84.94% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.67% Total : 75.66% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.95% Total : 8.65% |
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