Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
