SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Maritimo |
45.8% ( 0.1) | 27% ( -0.03) | 27.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.11% ( 0.08) | 56.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( 0.06) | 77.81% ( -0.06) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.08) | 24.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.63% ( 0.11) | 59.37% ( -0.11) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.01) | 36.48% ( 0.01) |
