With both sides level on points in the table, we expect them to take the game to each other in search of all three points and this makes for an exciting affair. However, Boavista have clearly been superior in their most recent encounters and we are backing them to extend their dominance and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
