MX23RW : Monday, February 13 01:43:07
SM
Merseyside derby: 18 hrs 16 mins
Apr 29, 2021 at 8.30pm UK at Estadio dos Barreiros
Maritimo
1 - 0
Braga
Joel (76')
Andrade (24'), China (42'), Winck (71'), Guitane (78'), Correa (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elmusrati (63'), Horta (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawBraga
16.37%23.82%59.81%
Both teams to score 43.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06%55.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96%77.05%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37%82.63%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52%18.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31%49.69%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 16.37%
    Braga 59.81%
    Draw 23.81%
MaritimoDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.55%
2-1 @ 4.15%
2-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.37%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 14.72%
0-2 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 7%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-4 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.81%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica20172151123953
2Porto20153247123548
3Braga20151445202546
4Sporting Lisbon20122640211938
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2010371920-133
6Casa Pia199371820-230
7AroucaArouca208662429-530
8ChavesChaves206861924-526
9Vizela207492220225
10BoavistaBoavista197482331-825
11PortimonensePortimonense2072111626-1023
12Estoril PraiaEstoril196491824-622
13Gil Vicente2064102027-722
14Rio AveRio Ave195681824-621
15FamalicaoFamalicao2063111828-1021
16Santa ClaraSanta Clara2036111426-1215
17Maritimo2034131337-2413
18Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2023151236-249
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