Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
