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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
C
Estrela Amadora
vs.
Chaves
 
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Chaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Porto vs. Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, February 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Chaves vs. Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Chaves has a probability of 34.34% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Chaves win is 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
38.94% (4.644 4.64) 26.72% (0.508 0.51) 34.34% (-5.157 -5.16)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.62% (-2.089 -2.09)53.37% (2.083 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.09% (-1.797 -1.8)74.91% (1.792 1.79)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (1.737 1.74)26.76% (-1.742 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (2.236 2.24)62.03% (-2.241 -2.24)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-4.003 -4)29.49% (3.997 4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (-5.17 -5.17)65.5% (5.164 5.16)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 38.94%
    Chaves 34.34%
    Draw 26.72%
Estrela AmadoraDrawChaves
1-0 @ 10.4% (1.281 1.28)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 6.86% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.406 0.41)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.618 0.62)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.241 0.24)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.626 0.63)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.763 -0.76)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.903 -0.9)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.724 -0.72)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.697 -0.7)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.362 -0.36)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.34%

Form Guide
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, February 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Farense
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Chaves
Wednesday, January 31 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Chaves
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

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